Please note: In smaller council areas (e.g. Shetland Islands), there are large fluctuations in the data. This is because small changes have a much larger effect in small populations than in large ones (e.g. Glasgow City).


Population Estimates

Last updated: July 2022
Likely next update: Summer 2024

Mid-2021 Population Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


On 30 June 2021, the population of South Ayrshire was 112,450. This is an increase of 0.3% from 112,140 in 2020. Over the same period, the population of Scotland increased by 0.3%.

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South Ayrshire had the 19th highest population in 2021, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2020 and 2021, 8 councils saw a population decrease and 24 councils saw a population increase.

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Between 2001 and 2021, the population of South Ayrshire has increased by 0.3%. This is the 28th highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Over the same period, Scotland’s population rose by 8.2%.

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In 2021, there were more females (52.2%) than males (47.8%) living in South Ayrshire. There were also more females (51.2%) than males (48.8%) living in Scotland overall.

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In terms of overall size, the 45 to 64 age group was the largest in 2021, with a population of 32,894. In contrast, the 16 to 24 age group was the smallest, with a population of 10,137. In 2021, more females than males lived in South Ayrshire in 4 out of 6 age groups.

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Between 2001 and 2021, the 25 to 44 age group saw the largest percentage decrease (-23.3%). The 65 to 74 age group saw the largest percentage increase (+37.5%).

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Population Projections

Last updated: March 2020
Likely next update: Early 2025

2018-based Population Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Between 2018 and 2028, the population of South Ayrshire is projected to decrease from 112,550 to 110,612. This is a decrease of 1.7%, which compares to a projected increase of 1.8% for Scotland as a whole.

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South Ayrshire is projected to have the 21st highest population out of the 32 council areas in Scotland in 2028. Between 2018 and 2028, 14 councils are projected to see a population decrease and 18 councils are projected to see a population increase.


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South Ayrshire is projected to have the 25th highest percentage change in population size out of the 32 council areas in Scotland.

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Over the next 10 years, the population of South Ayrshire is projected to decrease by 5.8% due to natural change (more deaths than births). Total net migration (net migration within Scotland, from overseas and from the rest of the UK) is projected to result in a population increase of 4.3% over the same period.

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The average age of the population of South Ayrshire is projected to increase as the baby boomer generation ages and more people are expected to live longer.

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Between 2018 and 2028, the 45 to 64 age group is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-11.9%) and the 75 and over age group is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+27.1%). In terms of size, however, 45 to 64 is projected to remain the largest age group.

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Births

Last updated: July 2023
Likely next update: July 2024

2022 Births by Council Area in Scotland


In 2022, there were 739 births in South Ayrshire. This is a decrease of 4.5% from 774 births in 2021. Of these 739 births, 363 (49.1%) were female and 376 (50.9%) were male.

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In South Ayrshire, the standardised birth rate decreased from 8.9 per 1,000 population in 2021 to 8.5 in 2022. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall decreased from 8.7 to 8.6.

In 2022, South Ayrshire was the council area with the 27th highest standardised birth rate. Between 2021 and 2022, 21 councils saw a decrease in standardised birth rate and 8 councils saw an increase. There were 3 councils that saw no change.

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In 2022, the most common age group of mothers in South Ayrshire was 30 to 34 (255 births), the same as in 2002. The least common age group of mothers in South Ayrshire was 0 to 19 (20 births), which is a change from the 40 and over age group in 2002.

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Between 2002 and 2022, the 0 to 19 age group has seen the largest percentage decrease in births (-76.7%) and the 40 and over age group has seen the largest percentage increase in births (+37.5%).

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The total fertility rate in South Ayrshire decreased from 1.36 in 2021 to 1.29 in 2022. Out of the 32 council areas in Scotland, South Ayrshire had the 27th highest rate in 2022 and this is higher than the rate of 1.28 for Scotland as a whole.

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Deaths

Last updated: July 2023
Likely next update: July 2024

2022 Deaths by Council Area in Scotland


In 2022, there were 1,673 deaths in South Ayrshire. This is a 1.8% increase from 1,644 deaths in 2021. Of these 1,673 deaths, 859 (51.3%) were female and 814 (48.7%) were male.

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In South Ayrshire, the standardised death rate decreased from 14.7 per 1,000 population in 2021 to 11.5 in 2022. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall decreased from 11.6 to 11.5.

In 2022, South Ayrshire was the council area with the 15th highest standardised death rate. Between 2021 and 2022, 25 councils saw a decrease in standardised death rate and 7 councils saw an increase.


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Between 2002 and 2022, both female and male deaths registered in South Ayrshire have increased in number. In 2022, a higher number of female (859) than male (814) deaths were registered.

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In comparison to 2002, the number of female deaths registered in South Ayrshire in 2022 was 7.2% higher and the number of male deaths was 15.3% higher. At Scotland level, the number of female deaths registered in 2022 was 4.3% higher and the number of male deaths was 12.8% higher.

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In 2022, the 90 and over age group saw the highest number of total deaths (324) and the 1 to 4, 5 to 9, 10 to 14, 25 to 29 age groups saw the fewest (0). For females, the most common age group was 90 and over (231) and for males, the most common age group was 80 to 84 (151).

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The following leading cause of death analysis is based on a list of causes developed by the World Health Organisation (WHO). There are around 60 categories in total and cancers are grouped separately according to the type of cancer, for example, lung, breast and prostate cancer are all counted as separate causes. If all cancers were grouped together, cancer would be the leading cause of death.


In South Ayrshire, the leading cause of death for males in 2022 was Ischaemic heart diseases (13.9% of all male deaths), followed by Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (7.5%). In Scotland overall, the leading cause of death for males was also Ischaemic heart diseases (14.0%), followed by Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (6.8%).

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In South Ayrshire, the leading cause of death for females in 2022 was Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (12.8% of all female deaths), followed by Cerebrovascular disease (9.4%). In Scotland overall, the leading cause of death for females was also Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease (13.1%), followed by Ischaemic heart diseases (8.7%).

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Life Expectancy

Last updated: September 2023
Likely next update: September/October 2024

Life Expectancy in 2019-21 by Council Area in Scotland*


In South Ayrshire, life expectancy at birth was higher for females (80.8 years) than for males (76.4 years) in 2019-21. Male life expectancy at birth has increased more rapidly than female life expectancy at birth between 2001-03 and 2019-21.

In South Ayrshire, female life expectancy at birth is higher than at Scotland level and male life expectancy at birth is lower than than at Scotland level.

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, female life expectancy at birth in South Ayrshire has risen by 2.0%. This is the joint 19th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+2.4%).

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, male life expectancy at birth in South Ayrshire has risen by 3.2%. This is the joint 24th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+4.1%).

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In South Ayrshire, life expectancy at age 65-69 was higher for females (19.8 years) than for males (17.6 years) in 2019-21. Male life expectancy at age 65-69 has increased more rapidly than female life expectancy at age 65-69 between 2001-03 and 2019-21.

In South Ayrshire, life expectancy at age 65-69 is higher than at Scotland level for both females and males.

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, female life expectancy at age 65-69 in South Ayrshire has risen by 8.1%. This is the joint 19th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+8.7%).

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Over the period between 2001-03 and 2019-21, male life expectancy at age 65-69 in South Ayrshire has risen by 14.1%. This is the joint 17th highest percentage change out of all 32 council areas in Scotland and this is lower than the percentage change for Scotland overall (+15.3%).

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*Please note that the Scotland-level life expectancy estimate shown here is for use only as a comparator for the corresponding sub-Scotland-level figures. The definitive Scotland-level life expectancy estimate (based on national life tables) is published in the National Life Tables section of the NRS website.


Migration

Last updated: July 2022
Likely next update:  Summer 2024

Mid-2021 Migration by Council Area in Scotland


In the period 2020-21, the level of in-migration in South Ayrshire was 4,370, a 37.4% increase from 3,180 in the period 2019-20. The level of out-migration in South Ayrshire was 3,180, which is a 12.4% increase from 2,830 in 2019-20.

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In 2020-21, South Ayrshire had the 13th highest level of net migration out of the 32 council areas in Scotland, with a net total of 1,190 people. This is an increase of 840 from 350 people in 2019-20.

Net migration is the difference between in-migration (those coming into an area) and out-migration (those leaving an area). Positive net migration means in-migration is higher than out-migration. Negative net migration means out-migration is higher than in-migration.

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*Please note that totals have been rounded to the nearest ten at council level.


In South Ayrshire, the net migration rate increased from 3.2 people per 1,000 population in 2019-20 to 10.6 in 2020-21. In comparison, the rate in Scotland overall increased from 3.1 to 5.1 people per 1,000 population.

In 2020-21, South Ayrshire was the council area with the 8th highest net migration rate, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2019-20 and 2020-21, 7 councils saw a decrease in net migration rates per 1,000 population and 25 councils saw an increase.

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In the period 2020-21, net migration in South Ayrshire was higher for females (602) than for males (591). The age group with the highest level of total net migration was 60 to 64 (163). In contrast, the age group with the lowest level of net migration was 25 to 29 (-56).

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Marriages and Civil Partnerships

Last updated: July 2023
Likely next update: July 2024

2022 Marriages by Council Area in Scotland


In 2022, 982 marriages were registered in South Ayrshire. This is a 32.9% increase from 739 in 2021. In comparison, the number of marriages registered in Scotland overall increased by 23.7%.

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South Ayrshire had the 10th highest number of marriage registrations in 2022, out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2021 and 2022, 3 councils saw a decrease in marriage registrations and 29 councils saw an increase.


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2022 Civil Partnerships by Council Area in Scotland


In Scotland overall, there were 630 civil partnerships in 2022, which is an increase of 26.3% from 2021.

Since June 2021 mixed-sex couples have been able to form a civil partnership. In 2022, 4 civil partnerships were registered in South Ayrshire, of which 3 were mixed-sex and 1 was same-sex.

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South Ayrshire had the joint 28th highest number of civil partnership registrations in 2022, out of the 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2021 and 2022, 6 councils saw a decrease in civil partnership registrations and 23 councils saw an increase. There were 3 councils that saw no change.

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Household Estimates

Last updated: June 2023
Likely next update: June 2024

Mid-2022 Household Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


In 2022, the number of households in South Ayrshire was 52,920. This is a 0.3% increase from 52,753 households in 2021. In comparison, the number of households in Scotland overall increased by 0.8%.

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South Ayrshire had the 19th highest number of households in 2022, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2021 and 2022, all councils saw an increase in the number of households.


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In comparison to 2001, the number of households in South Ayrshire has increased by 8.4%. This is the 29th highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland and a less rapid change than at Scotland level (+16.2%).

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Household Projections

Last updated: September 2020
Likely next update: July 2025

2018-based Household Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Between 2018 and 2028, the number of households in South Ayrshire is projected to increase from 52,281 to 53,063. This is a 1.5% increase, which compares to a projected increase of 4.9% for Scotland as a whole.

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South Ayrshire is projected to have the 19th highest number of households in 2028, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2018 and 2028, 8 councils are projected to see a decrease in the number of households and 24 councils are projected to see an increase.

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South Ayrshire is projected to have the 25th highest percentage change in household numbers out of the 32 council areas in Scotland.

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In 2028, the household type “One adult” is projected to remain the most common (37.3%) and the household type “One adult, one or more children” is projected to remain the least common (5.9%) in South Ayrshire.

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Between 2018 and 2028, the household type “Two or more adults, one or more children” is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-9.5%) and the household type “One adult” is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+6.0%).

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Between 2018 and 2028, the 50 to 54 age group is projected to see the largest percentage decrease (-28.3%) and the 80 to 84 age group is projected to see the largest percentage increase (+33.8%). In terms of size, however, 75 to 79 is projected to become the largest age group of a Household Reference Person (HRP), compared to 55 to 59 in 2018.

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Dwellings

Last updated: June 2023
Likely next update: June 2024

2022 Dwellings by Council Area in Scotland


In 2022, the number of dwellings in South Ayrshire was 56,453. This is a 0.8% increase from 56,016 in 2021. In comparison, the number of dwellings in Scotland overall increased by 0.9%.

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South Ayrshire had the 19th highest number of dwellings in 2022, out of all 32 council areas in Scotland. Between 2021 and 2022, all councils saw an increase in the number of dwellings.

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Compared with 2001, the number of dwellings in South Ayrshire has increased by 11.2%. This is the 28th highest percentage change out of the 32 council areas in Scotland and a less rapid change than for Scotland as a whole (+16.3%).

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In South Ayrshire, Council Tax band B was most common (22.7%) in 2022, followed by Council Tax band E (17.3%). Contrastingly, Council Tax band H was the least common (0.5%). In Scotland overall, Council Tax band B was the most common, followed by A. Council Tax band H was the least common in Scotland.

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Tables


Mid-2021 Population Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


Total population, South Ayrshire, 2001-2021

View Chart

Year Population % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 112,160 0.0 0.0
2002 111,690 -0.4 0.0
2003 111,550 -0.5 0.1
2004 111,840 -0.3 0.4
2005 112,030 -0.1 0.9
2006 112,100 -0.1 1.4
2007 112,380 0.2 2.1
2008 112,610 0.4 2.7
2009 112,490 0.3 3.3
2010 112,600 0.4 3.9
2011 112,980 0.7 4.7
2012 112,920 0.7 4.9
2013 112,870 0.6 5.2
2014 112,530 0.3 5.6
2015 112,400 0.2 6.1
2016 112,470 0.3 6.7
2017 112,680 0.5 7.1
2018 112,550 0.3 7.4
2019 112,610 0.4 7.9
2020 112,140 0.0 7.9
2021 112,450 0.3 8.2

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Population by age group by sex, South Ayrshire, 2021

View Chart

Age group Male Female All people % of population Scotland % of population
All people 53,760 58,690 112,450 100.0 100.0
0 to 15 8,823 8,421 17,244 15.3 16.6
16 to 24 5,210 4,927 10,137 9.0 10.2
25 to 44 10,980 11,833 22,813 20.3 26.4
45 to 64 15,485 17,409 32,894 29.3 27.2
65 to 74 7,565 8,325 15,890 14.1 10.9
75 and over 5,697 7,775 13,472 12.0 8.7

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Age group Male Female All people % of population Scotland % of population
All people 53,760 58,690 112,450 100.0 100.0
0 to 15 8,823 8,421 17,244 15.3 16.6
16 to 64 31,675 34,169 65,844 58.6 63.8
65 and over 13,262 16,100 29,362 26.1 19.6

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Percentage change in population by age group, South Ayrshire, 2001 and 2021

View Chart

Age group 2001 2021 % change Scotland % change
All people 112,160 112,450 0.3 8.2
0 to 15 20,255 17,244 -14.9 -6.1
16 to 24 10,664 10,137 -4.9 -1.7
25 to 44 29,758 22,813 -23.3 -2.1
45 to 64 29,959 32,894 9.8 20.1
65 to 74 11,553 15,890 37.5 33.3
75 and over 9,971 13,472 35.1 32.7

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


Age group 2001 2021 % change Scotland % change
All people 112,160 112,450 0.3 8.2
0 to 15 20,255 17,244 -14.9 -6.1
16 to 64 70,381 65,844 -6.4 6.3
65 and over 21,524 29,362 36.4 33.0

Source: Population Estimates Time Series Data


2018-based Population Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Total projected population, South Ayrshire, 2018-2028

View Chart

Year Population % change from 2018 Scotland % change from 2018
2018 112,550 0.0 0.0
2019 112,471 -0.1 0.3
2020 112,321 -0.2 0.5
2021 112,169 -0.3 0.7
2022 112,011 -0.5 0.9
2023 111,780 -0.7 1.1
2024 111,572 -0.9 1.2
2025 111,350 -1.1 1.4
2026 111,114 -1.3 1.5
2027 110,870 -1.5 1.7
2028 110,612 -1.7 1.8

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Components of projected population change, South Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Area 2018 2028 Natural change Net migration Total change Natural % change Net migration % change Total % change
South Ayrshire 112,550 110,612 -6,562 4,792 -1,938 -5.8 4.3 -1.7
Scotland 5,438,100 5,537,116 -90,876 189,892 99,016 -1.7 3.5 1.8

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Projected population change by sex, South Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Sex 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 112,550 110,612 -1.7 1.8
Male 53,712 53,001 -1.3 2.2
Female 58,838 57,611 -2.1 1.4

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


Projected population change by age group, South Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

View Chart

Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 112,550 110,612 -1.7 1.8
0 to 15 17,638 16,079 -8.8 -6.0
16 to 24 10,512 9,829 -6.5 -0.9
25 to 44 22,708 22,029 -3.0 3.1
45 to 64 33,506 29,510 -11.9 -5.5
65 to 74 15,434 16,959 9.9 14.4
75 and over 12,752 16,206 27.1 25.4

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)

Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All people 112,550 110,612 -1.7 1.8
0 to 15 17,638 16,079 -8.8 -6.0
16 to 64 66,726 61,368 -8.0 -1.3
65 and over 28,186 33,165 17.7 19.3

Source: Sub-National Population Projections (2018-based)


2022 Births by Council Area in Scotland


Births by sex, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

View Chart
Year Male Female All births % change from 2002 Scotland % change from 2002
2002 501 454 955 0.0 0.0
2003 487 497 984 3.0 2.3
2004 520 510 1,030 7.9 5.2
2005 491 485 976 2.2 6.1
2006 500 512 1,012 6.0 8.6
2007 515 514 1,029 7.7 12.7
2008 574 493 1,067 11.7 17.1
2009 548 506 1,054 10.4 15.2
2010 519 516 1,035 8.4 14.7
2011 542 531 1,073 12.4 14.3
2012 497 500 997 4.4 13.2
2013 554 444 998 4.5 9.3
2014 518 515 1,033 8.2 10.6
2015 509 521 1,030 7.9 7.5
2016 502 474 976 2.2 6.3
2017 481 456 937 -1.9 3.1
2018 472 460 932 -2.4 0.1
2019 426 411 837 -12.4 -2.7
2020 418 399 817 -14.5 -9.0
2021 394 380 774 -19.0 -6.8
2022 376 363 739 -22.6 -8.4

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.4


Standardised birth rates, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

View Chart

Year Standardised birth rate Scottish birth rate
2002 10.0 10.1
2003 10.4 10.3
2004 10.8 10.6
2005 10.3 10.6
2006 10.7 10.8
2007 10.9 11.2
2008 11.4 11.5
2009 11.3 11.3
2010 11.1 11.2
2011 11.5 11.1
2012 10.8 10.9
2013 10.8 10.5
2014 11.3 10.6
2015 11.4 10.3
2016 11.0 10.1
2017 10.6 9.7
2018 10.6 9.4
2019 9.5 9.1
2020 9.4 8.6
2021 8.9 8.7
2022 8.5 8.6

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.8


Births by age group of mother, South Ayrshire, 2002 and 2022

View Chart

Age group of mother 2002 2022 % change Scotland % change
All ages 955 739 -22.6 -8.4
0 to 19 86 20 -76.7 -74.0
20 to 24 172 89 -48.3 -40.3
25 to 29 228 197 -13.6 -3.1
30 to 34 303 255 -15.8 1.5
35 to 39 142 145 2.1 23.4
40 and over 24 33 37.5 68.9
Not stated 0 0 NaN -91.4

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.6


Approximated total fertility rate, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

View Chart

Year Approximated total fertility rate % change from 2002 Scotland % change from 2002
2002 1.48 -3.9 -8.1
2003 1.56 1.3 -5.0
2004 1.63 5.8 -1.3
2005 1.55 0.6 0.0
2006 1.65 7.1 2.5
2007 1.69 9.7 6.2
2008 1.75 13.6 10.0
2009 1.75 13.6 8.1
2010 1.72 11.7 7.5
2011 1.77 14.9 5.6
2012 1.66 7.8 4.4
2013 1.66 7.8 0.6
2014 1.74 13.0 0.0
2015 1.75 13.6 -3.7
2016 1.66 7.8 -6.2
2017 1.61 4.5 -9.3
2018 1.60 3.9 -12.3
2019 1.44 -6.5 -15.4
2020 1.43 -5.9 -12.8
2021 1.36 -8.7 -14.5
2022 1.29 -24.1 -14.1

Source: Births Time Series Data Table BT.10


2022 Deaths by Council Area in Scotland


Deaths by sex, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

View Chart

Year Male Female All people % change from 2002 Scotland % change from 2002
2002 706 801 1,507 0.0 0.0
2003 697 776 1,473 -2.3 0.6
2004 647 754 1,401 -7.0 -3.3
2005 651 749 1,400 -7.1 -4.1
2006 637 738 1,375 -8.8 -5.2
2007 650 738 1,388 -7.9 -3.6
2008 661 723 1,384 -8.2 -4.1
2009 636 743 1,379 -8.5 -7.3
2010 710 729 1,439 -4.5 -7.1
2011 655 757 1,412 -6.3 -7.6
2012 629 757 1,386 -8.0 -5.4
2013 666 775 1,441 -4.4 -5.9
2014 618 786 1,404 -6.8 -6.7
2015 739 759 1,498 -0.6 -0.9
2016 683 762 1,445 -4.1 -2.4
2017 682 754 1,436 -4.7 -0.4
2018 768 746 1,514 0.5 0.7
2019 729 784 1,513 0.4 0.0
2020 880 878 1,758 16.7 10.3
2021 815 829 1,644 9.1 9.4
2022 814 859 1,673 11.0 8.3

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.5


Standardised death rates, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

View Chart

Year Standardised death rate Scottish death rate
2002 11.2 11.5
2003 10.9 11.5
2004 10.4 11.1
2005 10.2 10.9
2006 10.0 10.7
2007 10.0 10.8
2008 9.9 10.7
2009 9.8 10.3
2010 10.2 10.3
2011 10.0 10.1
2012 9.7 10.3
2013 10.1 10.3
2014 9.9 10.1
2015 10.5 10.7
2016 10.1 10.5
2017 9.9 10.7
2018 10.4 10.8
2019 10.3 10.6
2020 11.6 12.0
2021 14.7 11.6
2022 11.5 11.5

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.9


Deaths by sex, South Ayrshire, 2002 and 2022

View Chart

Sex 2002 2022 % change Scotland % change
All people 1,507 1,673 11.0 8.3
Male 706 814 15.3 12.8
Female 801 859 7.2 4.3

Source: Deaths Time Series Data Table DT.5


Deaths by age group by sex, South Ayrshire, 2022

View Chart

Age group Male Female All people % of all deaths Scotland % of all deaths
All people 814 859 1,673 100.0 100.0
0 2 0 2 0.1 0.3
1 to 4 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
5 to 9 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
10 to 14 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
15 to 19 1 0 1 0.1 0.1
20 to 24 1 1 2 0.1 0.3
25 to 29 0 0 0 0.0 0.3
30 to 34 8 1 9 0.5 0.5
35 to 39 5 2 7 0.4 0.8
40 to 44 7 8 15 0.9 1.2
45 to 49 19 6 25 1.5 1.7
50 to 54 20 17 37 2.2 2.8
55 to 59 33 26 59 3.5 4.2
60 to 64 43 32 75 4.5 5.6
65 to 69 68 54 122 7.3 7.6
70 to 74 87 82 169 10.1 10.7
75 to 79 141 104 245 14.6 14.0
80 to 84 151 124 275 16.4 15.8
85 to 89 135 171 306 18.3 16.8
90 and over 93 231 324 19.4 17.1

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2022, Section 5: Deaths Table 5.02


Male leading causes of death, South Ayrshire, 2022

View Chart

Leading causes of death Male deaths % of all male deaths
I20-I25 Ischaemic heart diseases 113 13.9
F01, F03, G30 Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease 61 7.5
I60-I69 Cerebrovascular disease 40 4.9
C33-C34 Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung 37 4.5
C61 Malignant neoplasm of prostate 36 4.4

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2022, Section 6: Deaths - Causes Table 6.03


Female leading causes of death, South Ayrshire, 2022

View Chart

Leading causes of death Female deaths % of all female deaths
F01, F03, G30 Dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease 110 12.8
I60-I69 Cerebrovascular disease 81 9.4
I20-I25 Ischaemic heart diseases 69 8.0
C33-C34 Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung 45 5.2
J40-J47 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 37 4.3

Source: Vital Events Reference Tables 2022, Section 6: Deaths - Causes Table 6.03


2019-21 Life Expectancy by Council Area in Scotland


Female life expectancy at birth, South Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 78.6 79.2 79.9 0.0 0.0
2002-04 79.0 79.7 80.3 0.5 0.2
2003-05 79.4 80.0 80.6 1.0 0.5
2004-06 79.9 80.5 81.0 1.5 0.9
2005-07 80.0 80.6 81.1 1.7 1.0
2006-08 80.3 80.8 81.4 2.0 1.2
2007-09 80.2 80.8 81.4 2.0 1.5
2008-10 80.4 81.0 81.6 2.2 1.8
2009-11 80.3 80.8 81.4 2.0 2.2
2010-12 80.5 81.1 81.7 2.3 2.4
2011-13 80.3 80.9 81.4 2.0 2.6
2012-14 80.3 80.9 81.5 2.1 2.8
2013-15 80.4 81.0 81.6 2.3 2.9
2014-16 80.1 80.8 81.4 1.9 2.9
2015-17 80.5 81.1 81.8 2.4 2.8
2016-18 80.6 81.3 81.9 2.6 2.8
2017-19 81.0 81.6 82.2 3.0 2.9
2018-20 80.5 81.1 81.7 2.4 2.7
2019-21 80.2 80.8 81.4 2.0 2.4

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Male life expectancy at birth, South Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 73.3 74.0 74.7 0.0 0.0
2002-04 73.7 74.4 75.1 0.6 0.4
2003-05 74.3 75.0 75.7 1.3 1.0
2004-06 75.0 75.7 76.4 2.3 1.5
2005-07 74.9 75.6 76.3 2.1 1.8
2006-08 74.7 75.4 76.2 1.9 2.0
2007-09 75.0 75.7 76.4 2.3 2.5
2008-10 75.6 76.3 76.9 3.1 3.1
2009-11 76.4 77.0 77.7 4.1 3.7
2010-12 76.6 77.2 77.9 4.4 4.1
2011-13 77.0 77.6 78.3 4.9 4.5
2012-14 77.5 78.2 78.8 5.6 4.9
2013-15 77.1 77.7 78.4 5.0 4.9
2014-16 76.9 77.5 78.2 4.8 4.9
2015-17 76.5 77.2 77.9 4.3 4.8
2016-18 76.6 77.3 78.0 4.4 4.8
2017-19 76.6 77.3 78.0 4.4 5.0
2018-20 76.0 76.6 77.3 3.6 4.5
2019-21 75.7 76.4 77.1 3.2 4.1

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Female life expectancy at age 65 to 69, South Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 18.0 18.3 18.7 0.0 0.0
2002-04 18.1 18.5 18.8 0.8 0.5
2003-05 18.4 18.8 19.1 2.3 1.3
2004-06 18.6 19.0 19.4 3.5 2.6
2005-07 18.7 19.1 19.5 4.2 3.3
2006-08 19.0 19.3 19.7 5.4 3.8
2007-09 19.1 19.4 19.8 5.9 4.7
2008-10 19.2 19.5 19.9 6.5 5.8
2009-11 19.2 19.6 20.0 6.7 7.3
2010-12 19.2 19.6 20.0 6.9 7.5
2011-13 19.3 19.7 20.0 7.2 8.0
2012-14 19.3 19.6 20.0 7.0 8.5
2013-15 19.4 19.8 20.1 7.7 8.7
2014-16 19.6 19.9 20.3 8.6 9.2
2015-17 19.8 20.1 20.5 9.8 8.9
2016-18 19.9 20.3 20.6 10.5 9.4
2017-19 19.9 20.3 20.6 10.4 9.8
2018-20 19.7 20.0 20.4 9.2 9.2
2019-21 19.5 19.8 20.2 8.1 8.7

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Male life expectancy at age 65 to 69, South Ayrshire, 2001-03 to 2019-21

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Year Lower CI Estimate Upper CI Estimate % change from 2001-03 Scotland Estimate % change from 2001-03
2001-03 15.0 15.4 15.8 0.0 0.0
2002-04 15.1 15.5 15.8 0.4 1.1
2003-05 15.4 15.8 16.2 2.6 2.5
2004-06 15.9 16.3 16.7 5.8 4.9
2005-07 16.3 16.7 17.1 8.2 6.1
2006-08 16.5 16.9 17.3 9.8 7.4
2007-09 16.6 17.0 17.4 10.5 8.6
2008-10 16.4 16.8 17.2 9.1 10.4
2009-11 16.5 16.9 17.3 9.8 12.0
2010-12 16.8 17.1 17.5 11.3 13.2
2011-13 17.1 17.5 17.9 13.6 14.1
2012-14 17.5 17.9 18.3 16.4 15.2
2013-15 17.3 17.7 18.1 15.1 15.0
2014-16 17.6 18.0 18.4 16.9 15.5
2015-17 17.6 18.0 18.4 16.9 15.5
2016-18 17.7 18.1 18.4 17.3 16.5
2017-19 17.7 18.1 18.5 17.4 17.4
2018-20 17.3 17.6 18.0 14.3 16.3
2019-21 17.2 17.6 17.9 14.1 15.3

Source: Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland


Mid-2021 Migration by Council Area in Scotland


Migration by type, South Ayrshire, 2002-03 to 2020-21*

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Year In Out Net
2002-03 4,100 3,810 290
2003-04 4,040 3,360 680
2004-05 4,000 3,580 430
2005-06 3,740 3,380 370
2006-07 3,920 3,340 580
2007-08 3,830 3,430 400
2008-09 3,510 3,330 170
2009-10 3,510 3,070 440
2010-11 3,480 2,890 600
2011-12 3,600 3,240 360
2012-13 3,730 3,320 410
2013-14 3,430 3,330 100
2014-15 3,750 3,440 310
2015-16 3,790 3,240 550
2016-17 3,870 3,180 690
2017-18 3,700 3,210 500
2018-19 3,800 3,240 560
2019-20 3,180 2,830 350
2020-21 4,370 3,180 1,190

*Totals have been rounded to the nearest ten.

Source: Total Migration to or from Scotland


Net migration rates per 1,000 people, South Ayrshire, 2008-09 to 2020-21

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Year Net migration rate Scottish Net migration rate
2008-09 1.5 4.7
2009-10 3.9 5.0
2010-11 5.3 5.7
2011-12 3.2 2.4
2012-13 3.6 1.9
2013-14 0.9 3.3
2014-15 2.8 5.2
2015-16 4.9 5.9
2016-17 6.1 4.4
2017-18 4.4 3.8
2018-19 5.0 5.5
2019-20 3.2 3.1
2020-21 10.6 5.1

Sources: Migration Flows, Mid-2018 Population Estimates


Net migration by age group by sex, South Ayrshire, 2020-21

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Age group Male Female All people
All people 591 602 1,193
0 to 4 56 59 115
5 to 9 45 27 72
10 to 14 27 17 44
15 to 19 -1 7 6
20 to 24 -1 -13 -14
25 to 29 -40 -16 -56
30 to 34 28 31 59
35 to 39 40 74 114
40 to 44 87 57 144
45 to 49 27 40 67
50 to 54 45 74 119
55 to 59 81 70 151
60 to 64 78 85 163
65 to 69 73 36 109
70 to 74 46 26 72
75 to 79 -2 23 21
80 to 84 4 9 13
85 to 89 -2 -5 -7
90 and over 0 1 1

Source: Total Migration to or from Scotland


2022 Marriages and Civil Partnerships by Council Area in Scotland


Total marriages, South Ayrshire, 2002-2022

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Year All marriages
2002 745
2003 819
2004 840
2005 770
2006 772
2007 798
2008 758
2009 726
2010 764
2011 753
2012 901
2013 808
2014 862
2015 858
2016 851
2017 840
2018 859
2019 793
2020 260
2021 739
2022 982

Source: Marriages and Civil Partnership Time Series Data Table MT.02


Total civil partnerships, South Ayrshire, 2005-2022

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Year Male Female All civil partnerships Mixed.sex Same.sex
2005 0 1 1 NA NA
2006 7 10 17 NA NA
2007 9 6 15 NA NA
2008 1 6 7 NA NA
2009 1 2 3 NA NA
2010 6 7 13 NA NA
2011 4 5 9 NA NA
2012 3 11 14 NA NA
2013 4 1 5 NA NA
2014 2 3 5 NA NA
2015 1 1 2 NA NA
2016 1 0 1 NA NA
2017 1 1 2 NA NA
2018 0 0 0 NA NA
2019 1 0 1 NA NA
2020 0 1 1 NA NA
2021 NA NA 4 2 2
2022 NA NA 4 3 1

Source: Marriages and Civil Partnership Time Series Data Table MT.03


Mid-2022 Household Estimates by Council Area in Scotland


Total households, South Ayrshire, 2001-2022

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Year All households % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 48,802 0.0 0.0
2002 49,045 0.5 0.8
2003 49,446 1.3 1.7
2004 49,767 2.0 2.6
2005 50,158 2.8 3.6
2006 50,316 3.1 4.6
2007 50,654 3.8 5.7
2008 50,866 4.2 6.5
2009 50,952 4.4 7.2
2010 51,184 4.9 7.8
2011 51,364 5.2 8.3
2012 51,515 5.6 8.8
2013 51,654 5.8 9.4
2014 51,874 6.3 10.1
2015 51,912 6.4 10.7
2016 51,923 6.4 11.5
2017 52,104 6.8 12.2
2018 52,281 7.1 12.9
2019 52,588 7.8 13.7
2020 52,571 7.7 14.3
2021 52,753 8.1 15.2
2022 52,920 8.4 16.2

Source: Estimates of Households and Dwellings in Scotland, 2022 Table 1


2018-based Household Projections by Council Area in Scotland


Total projected households, South Ayrshire, 2018-2028

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Year All households % change from 2018 Scotland % change from 2018
2018 52,281 0.0 0.0
2019 52,588 0.6 0.7
2020 52,706 0.8 1.3
2021 52,804 1.0 1.8
2022 52,978 1.3 2.5
2023 53,032 1.4 2.9
2024 53,094 1.6 3.4
2025 53,113 1.6 3.8
2026 53,095 1.6 4.2
2027 53,081 1.5 4.5
2028 53,063 1.5 4.9

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


Percentage change in projected households by household type, South Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

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Type 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All households 52,281 53,063 1.5 4.9
One adult 18,689 19,818 6.0 8.1
Two adults 17,481 18,420 5.4 7.2
One adult, one or more children 3,219 3,134 -2.6 2.2
Two or more adults, one or more children 8,675 7,852 -9.5 -0.9
Three or more adults 4,217 3,839 -9.0 -3.4

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


Percentage change in projected households by age group of the Household Reference Person (HRP), South Ayrshire, 2018 and 2028

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Age group 2018 2028 % change Scotland % change
All HRPs 52,281 53,063 1.5 4.9
16 to 19 158 156 -1.1 12.5
20 to 24 1,443 1,303 -9.7 -6.5
25 to 29 2,116 1,825 -13.8 -15.5
30 to 34 2,949 2,873 -2.6 1.3
35 to 39 3,311 3,347 1.1 13.5
40 to 44 3,435 3,597 4.7 16.6
45 to 49 4,512 3,740 -17.1 -5.9
50 to 54 5,492 3,938 -28.3 -21.4
55 to 59 5,586 5,098 -8.7 -4.1
60 to 64 4,786 5,269 10.1 16.1
65 to 69 4,456 4,981 11.8 17.5
70 to 74 4,148 4,113 -0.8 2.8
75 to 79 4,140 5,311 28.3 28.2
80 to 84 3,050 4,081 33.8 32.3
85 to 89 1,829 2,267 24.0 19.0
90 and over 871 1,163 33.5 27.9

Source: 2018-based Household Projections


2022 Dwellings by Council Area in Scotland


Total dwellings, South Ayrshire, 2001-2022

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Year All dwellings % change from 2001 Scotland % change from 2001
2001 50,754 0.0 0.0
2002 51,237 1.0 0.8
2003 51,642 1.7 1.5
2004 52,047 2.5 2.4
2005 52,391 3.2 3.3
2006 52,665 3.8 4.1
2007 53,069 4.6 5.2
2008 53,209 4.8 6.0
2009 53,424 5.3 6.7
2010 53,788 6.0 7.2
2011 53,968 6.3 7.8
2012 54,202 6.8 8.4
2013 54,385 7.2 8.9
2014 54,489 7.4 9.5
2015 54,635 7.6 10.2
2016 54,942 8.3 11.0
2017 55,252 8.9 11.8
2018 55,486 9.3 12.7
2019 55,668 9.7 13.6
2020 55,793 9.9 14.4
2021 56,016 10.4 15.3
2022 56,453 11.2 16.3

Source: Estimates of Households and Dwellings in Scotland, 2022 Table 2


Dwellings by Council Tax band, South Ayrshire, 2022

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Tax band % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
A 12.7 20.4
B 22.7 22.4
C 16.0 16.1
D 15.2 13.7
E 17.3 13.6
F 9.5 8.0
G 6.1 5.1
H 0.5 0.5

Source: statistics.gov.scot


Tax band % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
A - C 51.4 58.9
D - E 32.5 27.3
F - H 16.1 13.7

Source: statistics.gov.scot


Dwellings by type, South Ayrshire, 2017

Type % of all dwellings Scotland % of all dwellings
All dwellings 100.0 100.0
Detached 25.6 21.5
Semi-detached 24.4 19.7
Terrace 22.6 20.5
Flat 27.2 37.7
Not known 0.2 0.7

Source: statistics.gov.scot