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Household Projections for Scotland 2008-based

Table 18: Comparison between principal, low and high migration variant household projections by local authority area, 2013-2033

Local authority

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

% difference between principal and variant migration projections in 2033

Low migration

Principal

High migration

Low migration

Principal

High migration

Low migration

Principal

High migration

Low migration

Principal

High migration

Low migration

Principal

High migration

Low

High

Scotland

2,425,160

2,440,440

2,455,690

2,512,410

2,549,930

2,587,360

2,583,190

2,645,300

2,707,270

2,643,250

2,731,760

2,820,050

2,695,460

2,812,520

2,929,300

-4%

4%

Aberdeen City

106,460

108,150

108,900

108,170

112,200

114,060

108,870

115,460

118,510

109,450

118,810

123,110

109,640

122,070

127,750

-10%

5%

Aberdeenshire

108,210

108,410

109,300

115,380

116,070

118,040

122,360

123,660

126,770

128,670

130,610

134,990

134,520

137,170

142,890

-2%

4%

Angus

51,970

52,010

52,350

53,890

54,050

54,860

55,630

55,910

57,300

57,150

57,570

59,560

58,490

59,070

61,740

-1%

5%

Argyll & Bute

41,540

41,780

41,920

41,790

42,500

43,070

41,760

43,000

44,070

41,350

43,120

44,750

40,560

42,900

45,090

-5%

5%

Clackmannanshire

24,430

24,460

24,640

26,180

26,320

26,690

27,910

28,150

28,720

29,650

30,040

30,770

31,370

31,920

32,830

-2%

3%

Dumfries & Galloway

69,300

69,780

70,260

70,230

71,460

72,630

70,710

72,750

74,680

70,880

73,770

76,520

70,620

74,410

78,080

-5%

5%

Dundee City

69,930

70,770

71,190

69,650

71,430

72,510

68,840

71,630

73,470

68,220

72,070

74,750

67,320

72,290

75,910

-7%

5%

East Ayrshire

54,570

54,880

55,150

55,750

56,440

56,960

56,490

57,580

58,380

56,830

58,360

59,470

57,000

59,000

60,450

-3%

2%

East Dunbartonshire

43,130

43,420

43,450

43,340

43,910

44,040

43,230

44,080

44,330

42,780

43,920

44,320

41,880

43,350

43,890

-3%

1%

East Lothian

44,660

45,030

45,560

47,650

48,440

49,320

50,770

51,970

53,190

53,750

55,370

56,950

56,750

58,800

60,770

-3%

3%

East Renfrewshire

36,010

36,190

36,240

36,330

36,730

36,890

36,540

37,160

37,440

36,560

37,420

37,810

36,520

37,670

38,160

-3%

1%

Edinburgh, City of

230,370

232,530

234,850

242,370

248,410

254,720

252,660

263,120

273,940

263,080

278,310

294,080

272,760

293,150

314,320

-7%

7%

Eilean Siar

12,150

12,170

12,230

12,450

12,590

12,780

12,680

12,940

13,260

12,820

13,220

13,680

12,860

13,400

14,020

-4%

5%

Falkirk

71,290

71,350

71,760

75,230

75,440

76,490

78,950

79,300

81,050

82,400

82,870

85,380

85,830

86,410

89,740

-1%

4%

Fife

167,020

167,720

168,610

174,380

176,380

178,670

180,590

184,070

187,890

186,080

191,150

196,650

191,070

197,860

205,160

-3%

4%

Glasgow City

291,440

295,010

296,940

300,070

307,930

312,740

305,090

317,700

325,730

308,300

326,020

337,460

310,840

334,100

349,180

-7%

5%

Highland

105,980

106,320

107,410

111,850

112,870

115,380

117,150

118,920

122,970

121,840

124,430

130,130

126,330

129,790

137,260

-3%

6%

Inverclyde

36,630

36,830

36,920

36,450

36,840

37,170

35,870

36,430

37,040

34,890

35,630

36,540

33,680

34,610

35,810

-3%

3%

Midlothian

35,620

35,940

36,170

36,490

37,100

37,470

37,200

38,130

38,630

37,640

38,910

39,550

37,930

39,560

40,360

-4%

2%

Moray

39,860

40,180

40,510

40,770

41,560

42,380

41,180

42,480

43,870

41,230

43,100

45,130

41,030

43,480

46,230

-6%

6%

North Ayrshire

63,020

63,360

63,630

64,150

64,910

65,570

64,790

66,000

67,060

64,940

66,610

68,130

64,630

66,810

68,820

-3%

3%

North Lanarkshire

148,310

148,890

149,230

153,560

154,830

155,780

157,910

159,860

161,530

161,410

164,090

166,540

164,760

168,230

171,480

-2%

2%

Orkney Islands

9,680

9,730

9,780

10,230

10,380

10,460

10,660

10,960

11,030

11,050

11,510

11,580

11,350

11,980

12,040

-5%

1%

Perth & Kinross

68,800

68,990

69,980

73,720

74,120

76,310

78,430

79,080

82,500

83,100

84,020

88,730

87,830

89,030

95,170

-1%

7%

Renfrewshire

79,990

80,480

80,730

80,800

81,740

82,410

81,040

82,470

83,590

80,750

82,690

84,330

80,300

82,790

85,010

-3%

3%

Scottish Borders

53,730

54,130

54,700

56,120

57,120

58,260

58,230

59,910

61,650

60,090

62,480

64,870

61,700

64,880

67,940

-5%

5%

Shetland Islands

10,030

10,100

10,190

10,360

10,560

10,770

10,550

10,900

11,260

10,560

11,090

11,590

10,420

11,140

11,830

-6%

6%

South Ayrshire

51,990

52,190

52,370

52,800

53,380

53,820

53,240

54,220

54,960

53,450

54,870

55,920

53,500

55,390

56,760

-3%

2%

South Lanarkshire

141,530

141,590

141,960

147,810

148,430

149,440

153,350

154,600

156,330

158,480

160,450

162,920

163,290

165,980

169,220

-2%

2%

Stirling

38,980

39,190

39,370

40,390

40,960

41,580

41,540

42,540

43,690

42,440

43,900

45,620

43,140

45,090

47,460

-4%

5%

West Dunbartonshire

41,920

42,090

42,200

42,390

42,710

43,060

42,570

43,060

43,650

42,540

43,190

44,040

42,250

43,060

44,240

-2%

3%

West Lothian

76,630

76,750

77,200

81,640

82,090

83,060

86,420

87,280

88,770

90,860

92,180

94,190

95,260

97,100

99,680

-2%

3%

 

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