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Household Projections for Scotland’s Strategic Development Plan Areas and National Parks (2008 based)

Table 7c: Household projections for SESplan SDP area, by household type and age group of the head of household, 2008-2033

Household type	Age group	2008	2013	2018	2023	2028	2033	Change 2008-2033		Average annual change ¹
Household type	Age group	2008	2013	2018	2023	2028	2033	Change 2008-2033		2008-2033	2008-2018	2018-2033
1 adult: male	16-19	680	750	810	940	1,110	1,230	550	81%	22	13	28
	20-24	3,420	3,580	3,500	3,400	3,690	3,880	460	14%	18	8	25
	25-29	8,320	9,560	10,350	10,530	10,540	11,690	3,370	40%	135	203	89
	30-34	8,690	11,250	13,070	14,260	14,760	14,970	6,280	72%	251	438	127
	35-39	8,790	8,760	11,320	13,060	14,110	14,580	5,790	66%	232	253	217
	40-44	8,930	9,450	9,300	11,820	13,510	14,550	5,620	63%	225	37	350
	45-49	8,040	9,500	9,880	9,550	11,920	13,410	5,370	67%	215	184	235
	50-54	6,760	8,460	9,790	9,980	9,480	11,620	4,860	72%	194	303	122
	55-59	6,240	7,160	8,790	9,980	10,020	9,430	3,190	51%	128	255	43
	60-64	5,900	6,280	7,010	8,380	9,300	9,180	3,290	56%	131	112	145
	65-69	4,290	5,370	5,500	5,920	6,810	7,310	3,020	70%	121	121	121
	70-74	4,790	5,270	6,830	7,210	7,990	9,440	4,650	97%	186	205	174
	75-79	4,020	4,390	4,780	6,070	6,260	6,770	2,750	68%	110	76	133
	80-84	3,120	3,440	3,940	4,380	5,620	5,880	2,760	88%	110	82	129
	85-89	2,020	2,300	2,800	3,510	4,160	5,560	3,540	175%	141	77	184
	90+	750	1,050	1,380	1,870	2,570	3,300	2,560	343%	102	64	128
	All ages	84,760	96,550	109,060	120,890	131,830	142,810	58,050	68%	2,322	2,430	2,250
1 adult: female	16-19	1,080	1,210	1,300	1,530	1,810	2,000	920	86%	37	22	47
	20-24	3,670	4,020	4,110	4,140	4,640	5,030	1,360	37%	54	44	61
	25-29	7,320	8,580	9,510	9,870	10,030	11,290	3,960	54%	159	219	118
	30-34	6,030	7,850	9,120	9,930	10,320	10,480	4,440	74%	178	309	90
	35-39	5,230	5,210	6,700	7,670	8,290	8,590	3,350	64%	134	147	126
	40-44	5,780	6,100	5,980	7,540	8,600	9,340	3,560	61%	142	20	224
	45-49	6,390	7,430	7,650	7,330	9,080	10,150	3,760	59%	151	126	167
	50-54	6,810	8,310	9,410	9,410	8,760	10,590	3,770	55%	151	260	78
	55-59	7,510	8,200	9,630	10,540	10,250	9,350	1,840	25%	74	213	-19
	60-64	8,620	8,400	8,590	9,410	9,590	8,740	120	1%	5	-3	10
	65-69	8,660	10,110	9,680	9,690	10,370	10,350	1,690	20%	68	102	45
	70-74	10,430	10,350	12,140	11,630	11,670	12,530	2,100	20%	84	172	26
	75-79	11,260	11,510	11,760	13,960	13,520	13,790	2,530	22%	101	50	135
	80-84	10,150	10,630	11,620	12,370	15,140	15,040	4,890	48%	196	147	228
	85-89	7,420	7,960	9,210	10,930	12,290	15,770	8,350	113%	334	179	437
	90+	3,120	4,110	5,190	6,750	8,990	11,320	8,200	263%	328	207	409
	All ages	109,500	119,980	131,630	142,720	153,340	164,360	54,860	50%	2,194	2,213	2,182
1 adult, 1+ children	16-19	780	830	850	960	1,080	1,170	390	50%	16	7	21
	20-24	3,050	3,290	3,230	3,140	3,430	3,630	570	19%	23	17	27
	25-29	4,750	5,460	5,950	5,880	5,740	6,270	1,510	32%	61	119	22
	30-34	5,720	6,840	7,950	8,800	8,920	8,900	3,180	55%	127	222	63
	35-39	7,520	7,260	9,030	10,590	11,770	12,180	4,660	62%	186	151	210
	40-44	6,730	7,240	7,090	8,860	10,360	11,540	4,810	72%	193	36	297
	45+	6,600	8,210	9,410	10,130	11,940	13,890	7,290	110%	292	281	299
	All ages	35,160	39,110	43,490	48,350	53,230	57,580	22,410	64%	896	832	939
2+ adults	16-19	2,380	2,700	2,930	3,490	4,170	4,630	2,250	95%	90	56	113
	20-24	13,570	14,630	15,140	15,300	17,220	18,910	5,340	39%	213	157	251
	25-29	16,540	17,920	18,220	17,860	17,330	18,720	2,180	13%	87	168	33
	30-34	10,670	13,180	14,420	14,860	14,730	14,500	3,820	36%	153	375	5
	35-39	8,330	7,520	8,990	9,640	9,780	9,540	1,220	15%	49	67	37
	40-44	9,670	8,340	6,820	7,440	7,530	7,270	-2,400	-25%	-96	-285	30
	45-49	16,780	16,110	13,860	11,130	11,900	11,970	-4,810	-29%	-192	-292	-126
	50-54	24,140	26,340	26,810	24,350	20,750	23,420	-730	-3%	-29	267	-227
	55-59	26,700	27,620	30,830	31,940	29,550	25,660	-1,050	-4%	-42	412	-345
	60-64	26,410	25,950	27,290	30,740	32,110	29,920	3,520	13%	141	88	176
	65-69	20,220	24,560	24,590	26,170	29,750	31,290	11,070	55%	443	437	447
	70-74	16,330	17,080	21,140	21,420	22,960	26,210	9,890	61%	395	482	338
	75-79	11,710	12,720	13,780	17,400	18,040	19,760	8,050	69%	322	206	399
	80-84	6,700	7,360	8,380	9,310	11,920	12,470	5,770	86%	231	169	272
	85-89	2,790	2,980	3,440	4,070	4,580	5,890	3,100	111%	124	65	164
	90+	730	920	1,090	1,330	1,640	1,900	1,170	160%	47	36	54
	All ages	213,660	225,920	237,730	246,460	253,950	262,050	48,390	23%	1,936	2,407	1,622
2+ adults, 1+ children	16-19	420	420	410	450	500	520	100	24%	4	-1	7
	20-24	2,520	2,390	2,070	1,780	1,730	1,620	-900	-36%	-36	-45	-30
	25-29	5,910	5,250	4,400	3,390	2,620	2,260	-3,650	-62%	-146	-151	-143
	30-34	12,920	12,950	12,160	10,860	9,040	7,550	-5,370	-42%	-215	-76	-307
	35-39	22,440	18,130	19,300	19,050	17,960	15,890	-6,550	-29%	-262	-314	-227
	40-44	25,590	23,170	19,690	22,000	22,490	21,900	-3,690	-14%	-148	-590	147
	45-49	18,930	20,300	19,450	17,570	20,810	22,090	3,170	17%	127	53	176
	50-54	7,590	8,830	9,580	9,280	8,550	10,250	2,670	35%	107	199	45
	55+	4,230	4,130	4,250	4,280	4,020	3,590	-640	-15%	-26	2	-44
	All ages	100,540	95,580	91,320	88,670	87,710	85,670	-14,870	-15%	-595	-922	-376
All households	All ages	543,620	577,140	613,220	647,090	680,060	712,460	168,840	31%	6,754	6,959	6,617

1. Average annual change is the result of dividing the absolute change (before rounding) by the number of years referred to.

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