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Household Projections for Scotland’s Strategic Development Plan Areas and National Parks (2008 based)

Table 7c: Household projections for SESplan SDP area, by household type and age group of the head of household, 2008-2033

Household type

Age group

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

2033

Change 2008-2033

Average annual change 1

2008-2033

2008-2018

2018-2033

1 adult: male

16-19

680

750

810

940

1,110

1,230

550

81%

22

13

28

20-24

3,420

3,580

3,500

3,400

3,690

3,880

460

14%

18

8

25

25-29

8,320

9,560

10,350

10,530

10,540

11,690

3,370

40%

135

203

89

30-34

8,690

11,250

13,070

14,260

14,760

14,970

6,280

72%

251

438

127

35-39

8,790

8,760

11,320

13,060

14,110

14,580

5,790

66%

232

253

217

40-44

8,930

9,450

9,300

11,820

13,510

14,550

5,620

63%

225

37

350

45-49

8,040

9,500

9,880

9,550

11,920

13,410

5,370

67%

215

184

235

50-54

6,760

8,460

9,790

9,980

9,480

11,620

4,860

72%

194

303

122

55-59

6,240

7,160

8,790

9,980

10,020

9,430

3,190

51%

128

255

43

60-64

5,900

6,280

7,010

8,380

9,300

9,180

3,290

56%

131

112

145

65-69

4,290

5,370

5,500

5,920

6,810

7,310

3,020

70%

121

121

121

70-74

4,790

5,270

6,830

7,210

7,990

9,440

4,650

97%

186

205

174

75-79

4,020

4,390

4,780

6,070

6,260

6,770

2,750

68%

110

76

133

80-84

3,120

3,440

3,940

4,380

5,620

5,880

2,760

88%

110

82

129

85-89

2,020

2,300

2,800

3,510

4,160

5,560

3,540

175%

141

77

184

90+

750

1,050

1,380

1,870

2,570

3,300

2,560

343%

102

64

128

All ages

84,760

96,550

109,060

120,890

131,830

142,810

58,050

68%

2,322

2,430

2,250

1 adult: female

16-19

1,080

1,210

1,300

1,530

1,810

2,000

920

86%

37

22

47

20-24

3,670

4,020

4,110

4,140

4,640

5,030

1,360

37%

54

44

61

25-29

7,320

8,580

9,510

9,870

10,030

11,290

3,960

54%

159

219

118

30-34

6,030

7,850

9,120

9,930

10,320

10,480

4,440

74%

178

309

90

35-39

5,230

5,210

6,700

7,670

8,290

8,590

3,350

64%

134

147

126

40-44

5,780

6,100

5,980

7,540

8,600

9,340

3,560

61%

142

20

224

45-49

6,390

7,430

7,650

7,330

9,080

10,150

3,760

59%

151

126

167

50-54

6,810

8,310

9,410

9,410

8,760

10,590

3,770

55%

151

260

78

55-59

7,510

8,200

9,630

10,540

10,250

9,350

1,840

25%

74

213

-19

60-64

8,620

8,400

8,590

9,410

9,590

8,740

120

1%

5

-3

10

65-69

8,660

10,110

9,680

9,690

10,370

10,350

1,690

20%

68

102

45

70-74

10,430

10,350

12,140

11,630

11,670

12,530

2,100

20%

84

172

26

75-79

11,260

11,510

11,760

13,960

13,520

13,790

2,530

22%

101

50

135

80-84

10,150

10,630

11,620

12,370

15,140

15,040

4,890

48%

196

147

228

85-89

7,420

7,960

9,210

10,930

12,290

15,770

8,350

113%

334

179

437

90+

3,120

4,110

5,190

6,750

8,990

11,320

8,200

263%

328

207

409

All ages

109,500

119,980

131,630

142,720

153,340

164,360

54,860

50%

2,194

2,213

2,182

1 adult, 1+ children

16-19

780

830

850

960

1,080

1,170

390

50%

16

7

21

20-24

3,050

3,290

3,230

3,140

3,430

3,630

570

19%

23

17

27

25-29

4,750

5,460

5,950

5,880

5,740

6,270

1,510

32%

61

119

22

30-34

5,720

6,840

7,950

8,800

8,920

8,900

3,180

55%

127

222

63

35-39

7,520

7,260

9,030

10,590

11,770

12,180

4,660

62%

186

151

210

40-44

6,730

7,240

7,090

8,860

10,360

11,540

4,810

72%

193

36

297

45+

6,600

8,210

9,410

10,130

11,940

13,890

7,290

110%

292

281

299

All ages

35,160

39,110

43,490

48,350

53,230

57,580

22,410

64%

896

832

939

2+ adults

16-19

2,380

2,700

2,930

3,490

4,170

4,630

2,250

95%

90

56

113

20-24

13,570

14,630

15,140

15,300

17,220

18,910

5,340

39%

213

157

251

25-29

16,540

17,920

18,220

17,860

17,330

18,720

2,180

13%

87

168

33

30-34

10,670

13,180

14,420

14,860

14,730

14,500

3,820

36%

153

375

5

35-39

8,330

7,520

8,990

9,640

9,780

9,540

1,220

15%

49

67

37

40-44

9,670

8,340

6,820

7,440

7,530

7,270

-2,400

-25%

-96

-285

30

45-49

16,780

16,110

13,860

11,130

11,900

11,970

-4,810

-29%

-192

-292

-126

50-54

24,140

26,340

26,810

24,350

20,750

23,420

-730

-3%

-29

267

-227

55-59

26,700

27,620

30,830

31,940

29,550

25,660

-1,050

-4%

-42

412

-345

60-64

26,410

25,950

27,290

30,740

32,110

29,920

3,520

13%

141

88

176

65-69

20,220

24,560

24,590

26,170

29,750

31,290

11,070

55%

443

437

447

70-74

16,330

17,080

21,140

21,420

22,960

26,210

9,890

61%

395

482

338

75-79

11,710

12,720

13,780

17,400

18,040

19,760

8,050

69%

322

206

399

80-84

6,700

7,360

8,380

9,310

11,920

12,470

5,770

86%

231

169

272

85-89

2,790

2,980

3,440

4,070

4,580

5,890

3,100

111%

124

65

164

90+

730

920

1,090

1,330

1,640

1,900

1,170

160%

47

36

54

All ages

213,660

225,920

237,730

246,460

253,950

262,050

48,390

23%

1,936

2,407

1,622

2+ adults, 1+ children

16-19

420

420

410

450

500

520

100

24%

4

-1

7

20-24

2,520

2,390

2,070

1,780

1,730

1,620

-900

-36%

-36

-45

-30

25-29

5,910

5,250

4,400

3,390

2,620

2,260

-3,650

-62%

-146

-151

-143

30-34

12,920

12,950

12,160

10,860

9,040

7,550

-5,370

-42%

-215

-76

-307

35-39

22,440

18,130

19,300

19,050

17,960

15,890

-6,550

-29%

-262

-314

-227

40-44

25,590

23,170

19,690

22,000

22,490

21,900

-3,690

-14%

-148

-590

147

45-49

18,930

20,300

19,450

17,570

20,810

22,090

3,170

17%

127

53

176

50-54

7,590

8,830

9,580

9,280

8,550

10,250

2,670

35%

107

199

45

55+

4,230

4,130

4,250

4,280

4,020

3,590

-640

-15%

-26

2

-44

All ages

100,540

95,580

91,320

88,670

87,710

85,670

-14,870

-15%

-595

-922

-376

All households

All ages

543,620

577,140

613,220

647,090

680,060

712,460

168,840

31%

6,754

6,959

6,617

1. Average annual change is the result of dividing the absolute change (before rounding) by the number of years referred to.

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