Table 6 Comparison between principal, high and low migration variant population projections, by council and NHS board areas, 2013-2033
Area |
2013 |
2018 |
2023 |
2028 |
2033 |
% difference between principal and low migration variant projections in 2033 |
% difference between principal and high migration variant projections in 2033 |
Low Migration Projected %change (2008-2033) |
High Migration Projected %change (2008-2033) |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Low migration |
Principal |
High migration |
Low migration |
Principal |
High migration |
Low migration |
Principal |
High migration |
Low migration |
Principal |
High migration |
Low migration |
Principal |
High migration |
|||||
SCOTLAND |
5,230,750 |
5,271,006 |
5,311,243 |
5,270,333 |
5,359,837 |
5,449,350 |
5,299,471 |
5,442,289 |
5,585,126 |
5,306,820 |
5,505,283 |
5,703,772 |
5,289,198 |
5,544,410 |
5,799,623 |
5% |
5% |
2% |
12% |
Council areas |
|||||||||||||||||||
Aberdeen City |
210,259 |
214,409 |
216,147 |
208,284 |
217,079 |
220,873 |
205,193 |
219,012 |
225,053 |
200,665 |
219,750 |
228,133 |
195,181 |
219,630 |
230,403 |
11% |
5% |
-7% |
10% |
Aberdeenshire |
252,272 |
252,794 |
255,482 |
262,017 |
263,895 |
269,276 |
271,825 |
275,248 |
283,485 |
280,947 |
285,982 |
297,244 |
288,600 |
295,353 |
309,709 |
2% |
5% |
20% |
28% |
Angus |
112,313 |
112,420 |
113,365 |
113,966 |
114,339 |
116,436 |
115,566 |
116,211 |
119,613 |
116,853 |
117,768 |
122,525 |
117,548 |
118,774 |
124,961 |
1% |
5% |
7% |
13% |
Argyll & Bute |
88,628 |
89,248 |
89,671 |
86,810 |
88,531 |
89,998 |
84,952 |
87,904 |
90,568 |
82,737 |
86,992 |
90,905 |
79,790 |
85,383 |
90,578 |
7% |
6% |
-12% |
0% |
Clackmannanshire |
52,825 |
52,879 |
53,356 |
55,076 |
55,416 |
56,216 |
57,305 |
57,942 |
59,095 |
59,409 |
60,367 |
61,870 |
61,273 |
62,577 |
64,406 |
2% |
3% |
21% |
28% |
Dumfries & Galloway |
148,112 |
149,423 |
150,695 |
146,616 |
149,624 |
152,612 |
144,773 |
149,610 |
154,444 |
142,180 |
148,899 |
155,673 |
138,485 |
147,138 |
155,918 |
6% |
6% |
-7% |
5% |
Dundee City |
140,519 |
142,672 |
143,670 |
137,648 |
141,604 |
144,066 |
134,212 |
140,108 |
144,162 |
130,022 |
137,895 |
143,629 |
125,408 |
135,229 |
142,712 |
7% |
6% |
-12% |
0% |
East Ayrshire |
119,992 |
120,945 |
121,682 |
119,458 |
121,360 |
122,702 |
118,670 |
121,551 |
123,551 |
117,156 |
121,093 |
123,769 |
114,862 |
119,901 |
123,266 |
4% |
3% |
-4% |
3% |
East Dunbartonshire |
102,336 |
103,379 |
103,424 |
99,363 |
101,155 |
101,451 |
96,034 |
98,590 |
99,202 |
92,070 |
95,445 |
96,418 |
87,327 |
91,557 |
92,906 |
5% |
1% |
-17% |
-11% |
East Lothian |
101,712 |
102,754 |
104,311 |
106,677 |
108,641 |
110,971 |
112,344 |
115,186 |
118,324 |
118,199 |
121,916 |
125,855 |
123,704 |
128,279 |
133,011 |
4% |
4% |
29% |
38% |
East Renfrewshire |
88,348 |
88,975 |
89,050 |
87,232 |
88,489 |
88,872 |
86,092 |
88,019 |
88,753 |
84,700 |
87,368 |
88,404 |
82,731 |
86,183 |
87,492 |
4% |
2% |
-7% |
-2% |
Edinburgh, City of |
483,640 |
489,318 |
495,271 |
493,058 |
507,233 |
521,791 |
500,239 |
523,627 |
547,520 |
505,082 |
538,003 |
571,663 |
508,345 |
550,932 |
594,519 |
8% |
8% |
8% |
26% |
Eilean Siar |
25,860 |
25,869 |
26,089 |
25,507 |
25,763 |
26,298 |
25,103 |
25,628 |
26,499 |
24,603 |
25,440 |
26,638 |
23,945 |
25,136 |
26,669 |
5% |
6% |
-9% |
2% |
Falkirk |
155,864 |
155,919 |
156,971 |
160,024 |
160,239 |
162,723 |
164,003 |
164,380 |
168,354 |
167,590 |
168,050 |
173,579 |
170,699 |
171,211 |
178,332 |
0% |
4% |
13% |
18% |
Fife |
368,589 |
370,326 |
372,752 |
374,168 |
378,934 |
384,555 |
379,133 |
387,214 |
396,315 |
382,343 |
393,868 |
406,637 |
383,543 |
398,608 |
415,066 |
4% |
4% |
6% |
15% |
Glasgow City |
581,630 |
590,733 |
595,218 |
576,148 |
594,085 |
604,122 |
568,203 |
595,861 |
611,862 |
557,264 |
595,141 |
617,308 |
544,335 |
592,672 |
621,108 |
8% |
5% |
-7% |
6% |
Highland |
227,682 |
228,467 |
231,452 |
234,412 |
236,757 |
242,997 |
240,846 |
244,748 |
254,494 |
246,518 |
251,953 |
265,388 |
251,041 |
257,965 |
275,133 |
3% |
7% |
14% |
25% |
Inverclyde |
78,223 |
78,803 |
78,966 |
75,376 |
76,363 |
77,031 |
72,228 |
73,612 |
74,886 |
68,569 |
70,372 |
72,274 |
64,415 |
66,611 |
69,150 |
3% |
4% |
-20% |
-14% |
Midlothian |
81,238 |
82,253 |
82,830 |
81,134 |
82,839 |
83,742 |
80,936 |
83,335 |
84,564 |
80,390 |
83,484 |
85,034 |
79,383 |
83,187 |
85,073 |
5% |
2% |
-1% |
6% |
Moray |
87,984 |
88,971 |
89,970 |
87,426 |
89,580 |
91,986 |
86,840 |
90,245 |
94,209 |
85,864 |
90,610 |
96,233 |
84,212 |
90,324 |
97,682 |
7% |
8% |
-4% |
11% |
North Ayrshire |
135,178 |
136,124 |
136,814 |
133,628 |
135,516 |
137,074 |
131,620 |
134,487 |
136,954 |
128,816 |
132,714 |
136,167 |
125,115 |
130,072 |
134,526 |
4% |
3% |
-8% |
-1% |
North Lanarkshire |
328,099 |
329,610 |
330,440 |
329,567 |
332,635 |
334,838 |
330,255 |
334,956 |
338,680 |
329,578 |
335,966 |
341,302 |
327,673 |
335,783 |
342,761 |
2% |
2% |
1% |
5% |
Orkney Islands |
20,265 |
20,375 |
20,487 |
20,566 |
20,956 |
21,085 |
20,772 |
21,501 |
21,614 |
20,877 |
21,989 |
22,051 |
20,799 |
22,301 |
22,289 |
7% |
0% |
5% |
12% |
Perth & Kinross |
151,685 |
152,070 |
154,976 |
158,758 |
159,678 |
165,280 |
166,245 |
167,740 |
176,107 |
173,560 |
175,648 |
186,847 |
180,268 |
182,903 |
196,971 |
1% |
8% |
25% |
37% |
Renfrewshire |
168,308 |
169,618 |
170,256 |
166,008 |
168,295 |
169,848 |
163,218 |
166,572 |
169,145 |
159,594 |
164,082 |
167,786 |
155,182 |
160,872 |
165,751 |
4% |
3% |
-9% |
-2% |
Scottish Borders |
115,441 |
116,491 |
118,068 |
117,673 |
120,124 |
122,955 |
119,938 |
123,906 |
128,028 |
121,843 |
127,348 |
132,802 |
123,072 |
130,134 |
136,897 |
5% |
5% |
9% |
22% |
Shetland Islands |
21,751 |
22,023 |
22,251 |
21,234 |
21,843 |
22,403 |
20,518 |
21,523 |
22,465 |
19,582 |
21,034 |
22,413 |
18,415 |
20,338 |
22,170 |
9% |
9% |
-16% |
1% |
South Ayrshire |
111,008 |
111,526 |
112,001 |
110,210 |
111,585 |
112,644 |
109,297 |
111,601 |
113,315 |
107,946 |
111,250 |
113,669 |
106,028 |
110,337 |
113,470 |
4% |
3% |
-5% |
2% |
South Lanarkshire |
315,277 |
315,446 |
316,460 |
320,684 |
322,163 |
324,596 |
325,705 |
328,707 |
332,713 |
329,659 |
334,324 |
339,945 |
332,318 |
338,657 |
345,916 |
2% |
2% |
7% |
12% |
Stirling |
88,924 |
89,512 |
90,072 |
89,419 |
90,830 |
92,524 |
89,996 |
92,297 |
95,271 |
90,353 |
93,555 |
97,888 |
90,202 |
94,329 |
100,096 |
4% |
6% |
2% |
13% |
West Dunbartonshire |
89,451 |
90,025 |
90,193 |
87,947 |
88,909 |
89,611 |
86,211 |
87,615 |
88,892 |
83,963 |
85,849 |
87,719 |
81,303 |
83,670 |
86,180 |
3% |
3% |
-11% |
-5% |
West Lothian |
177,337 |
177,629 |
178,853 |
184,239 |
185,377 |
187,774 |
191,199 |
193,353 |
196,989 |
197,888 |
201,128 |
206,004 |
203,996 |
208,364 |
214,502 |
2% |
3% |
20% |
27% |
NHS board areas |
|||||||||||||||||||
Ayrshire & Arran |
366,178 |
368,595 |
370,497 |
363,296 |
368,461 |
372,420 |
359,587 |
367,639 |
373,820 |
353,918 |
365,057 |
373,605 |
346,005 |
360,310 |
371,262 |
4% |
3% |
-6% |
1% |
Borders |
115,441 |
116,491 |
118,068 |
117,673 |
120,124 |
122,955 |
119,938 |
123,906 |
128,028 |
121,843 |
127,348 |
132,802 |
123,072 |
130,134 |
136,897 |
5% |
5% |
9% |
22% |
Dumfries & Galloway |
148,112 |
149,423 |
150,695 |
146,616 |
149,624 |
152,612 |
144,773 |
149,610 |
154,444 |
142,180 |
148,899 |
155,673 |
138,485 |
147,138 |
155,918 |
6% |
6% |
-7% |
5% |
Fife |
368,514 |
370,251 |
372,677 |
374,093 |
378,859 |
384,480 |
379,058 |
387,139 |
396,240 |
382,268 |
393,793 |
406,562 |
383,468 |
398,533 |
414,991 |
4% |
4% |
6% |
15% |
Forth Valley |
297,260 |
297,957 |
300,046 |
304,166 |
306,132 |
311,110 |
310,951 |
314,266 |
322,367 |
316,999 |
321,619 |
332,984 |
321,821 |
327,764 |
342,481 |
2% |
4% |
11% |
18% |
Grampian |
550,515 |
556,174 |
561,599 |
557,727 |
570,554 |
582,135 |
563,858 |
584,505 |
602,747 |
567,476 |
596,342 |
621,610 |
567,993 |
605,307 |
637,794 |
6% |
5% |
5% |
18% |
Greater Glasgow & Clyde |
1,184,797 |
1,198,174 |
1,203,965 |
1,170,235 |
1,195,934 |
1,210,122 |
1,151,845 |
1,191,009 |
1,214,394 |
1,127,544 |
1,180,990 |
1,213,906 |
1,098,025 |
1,166,109 |
1,208,748 |
6% |
4% |
-8% |
1% |
Highland |
316,310 |
317,715 |
321,123 |
321,222 |
325,288 |
332,995 |
325,798 |
332,652 |
345,062 |
329,255 |
338,945 |
356,293 |
330,831 |
343,348 |
365,711 |
4% |
7% |
7% |
18% |
Lanarkshire |
567,414 |
568,954 |
570,581 |
572,629 |
576,699 |
580,786 |
576,640 |
583,462 |
590,278 |
578,392 |
588,096 |
597,789 |
577,798 |
590,435 |
603,055 |
2% |
2% |
3% |
7% |
Lothian |
843,834 |
851,861 |
861,172 |
865,015 |
883,997 |
904,185 |
884,625 |
915,408 |
947,304 |
901,466 |
944,438 |
988,463 |
915,335 |
970,669 |
1,027,012 |
6% |
6% |
12% |
26% |
Orkney |
20,265 |
20,375 |
20,487 |
20,566 |
20,956 |
21,085 |
20,772 |
21,501 |
21,614 |
20,877 |
21,989 |
22,051 |
20,799 |
22,301 |
22,289 |
7% |
0% |
5% |
12% |
Shetland |
21,751 |
22,023 |
22,251 |
21,234 |
21,843 |
22,403 |
20,518 |
21,523 |
22,465 |
19,582 |
21,034 |
22,413 |
18,415 |
20,338 |
22,170 |
9% |
9% |
-16% |
1% |
Tayside |
404,499 |
407,144 |
411,993 |
410,354 |
415,603 |
425,764 |
416,005 |
424,041 |
439,864 |
420,417 |
431,293 |
452,983 |
423,206 |
436,888 |
464,626 |
3% |
6% |
7% |
17% |
Western Isles |
25,860 |
25,869 |
26,089 |
25,507 |
25,763 |
26,298 |
25,103 |
25,628 |
26,499 |
24,603 |
25,440 |
26,638 |
23,945 |
25,136 |
26,669 |
5% |
6% |
-9% |
2% |