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Table 6: Comparison between principal and variant population projections, by Council and NHS Board areas1 , 2012-20372
Area 2012 2037 Projected percentage population change (2012-2037)
Zero migration Low migration Low fertility Low life expectancy Principal High life expectancy High fertility High migration Zero migration Low migration Low fertility Low life expectancy Principal High life expectancy High fertility High migration
Footnotes:
Scotland 5,313,600 5,269,945 5,550,629 5,648,533 5,701,685 5,780,371 5,855,738 5,946,838 6,010,034 -1 4 6 7 9 10 12 13
Council areas
Aberdeen City 224,970 224,809 271,065 282,296 285,884 288,788 291,586 296,962 306,173 -0 20 25 27 28 30 32 36
Aberdeenshire 255,540 259,544 291,787 293,234 296,168 299,813 303,189 308,132 308,935 2 14 15 16 17 19 21 21
Angus 116,210 111,903 112,161 112,934 113,439 115,327 117,042 118,307 117,781 -4 -3 -3 -2 -1 1 2 1
Argyll & Bute 86,900 79,813 70,086 73,657 73,801 75,183 76,560 77,231 79,059 -8 -19 -15 -15 -13 -12 -11 -9
Clackmannanshire 51,280 52,721 48,752 48,821 49,215 50,043 50,763 51,492 51,453 3 -5 -5 -4 -2 -1 0 0
Dumfries & Galloway 150,830 141,191 135,218 138,569 139,114 141,619 144,000 145,452 147,854 -6 -10 -8 -8 -6 -5 -4 -2
Dundee City 147,800 148,137 162,698 166,424 168,702 170,811 172,795 176,238 180,399 0 10 13 14 16 17 19 22
East Ayrshire 122,720 120,682 119,227 119,172 120,052 121,928 123,760 125,448 124,615 -2 -3 -3 -2 -1 1 2 2
East Dunbartonshire 105,880 103,940 97,318 96,805 97,215 98,696 100,120 101,074 101,182 -2 -8 -9 -8 -7 -5 -5 -4
East Lothian 100,850 103,048 121,298 121,364 122,802 124,351 125,840 128,069 127,970 2 20 20 22 23 25 27 27
East Renfrewshire 91,030 92,887 92,946 92,376 93,160 94,387 95,607 96,983 96,687 2 2 1 2 4 5 7 6
Edinburgh, City of 482,640 481,182 577,393 605,818 612,919 618,978 624,849 635,545 664,257 -0 20 26 27 28 29 32 38
Eilean Siar 27,560 24,975 23,391 24,142 24,088 24,596 25,032 25,114 26,102 -9 -15 -12 -13 -11 -9 -9 -5
Falkirk 156,800 158,213 170,480 169,109 170,806 173,130 175,391 178,248 176,171 1 9 8 9 10 12 14 12
Fife 366,220 368,017 382,566 388,490 392,341 397,989 403,383 409,900 411,736 0 4 6 7 9 10 12 12
Glasgow City 595,080 592,754 646,692 667,440 676,347 684,744 692,779 706,514 723,017 -0 9 12 14 15 16 19 21
Highland 232,910 226,945 234,238 238,517 239,791 243,493 247,159 249,914 254,269 -3 1 2 3 5 6 7 9
Inverclyde 80,680 75,958 62,646 63,718 63,735 65,014 66,258 66,787 66,469 -6 -22 -21 -21 -19 -18 -17 -18
Midlothian 84,240 86,515 96,327 96,612 97,832 99,090 100,316 102,140 100,522 3 14 15 16 18 19 21 19
Moray 92,910 91,913 86,700 88,888 89,532 90,889 92,244 93,446 95,924 -1 -7 -4 -4 -2 -1 1 3
North Ayrshire 137,560 133,683 122,426 122,656 123,289 125,465 127,588 129,080 128,238 -3 -11 -11 -10 -9 -7 -6 -7
North Lanarkshire 337,870 341,612 331,325 330,032 333,038 338,195 342,999 348,545 342,190 1 -2 -2 -1 0 2 3 1
Orkney Islands 21,530 20,557 21,172 22,302 22,349 22,724 23,014 23,271 24,440 -5 -2 4 4 6 7 8 14
Perth & Kinross 147,740 142,991 174,149 179,512 181,204 183,468 185,765 188,320 191,629 -3 18 22 23 24 26 27 30
Renfrewshire 174,310 170,802 171,422 171,219 172,686 175,382 177,927 180,633 178,404 -2 -2 -2 -1 1 2 4 2
Scottish Borders 113,710 110,025 108,458 111,479 111,887 113,725 115,512 116,593 119,348 -3 -5 -2 -2 0 2 3 5
Shetland Islands 23,210 23,870 23,527 24,537 24,755 25,147 25,460 25,889 26,845 3 1 6 7 8 10 12 16
South Ayrshire 112,910 104,356 106,503 107,929 108,227 110,158 111,990 112,970 112,960 -8 -6 -4 -4 -2 -1 0 0
South Lanarkshire 314,360 310,299 315,136 314,304 316,806 321,653 326,323 330,953 329,775 -1 0 -0 1 2 4 5 5
Stirling 91,020 90,190 100,504 103,579 104,620 105,860 107,063 108,678 110,006 -1 10 14 15 16 18 19 21
West Dunbartonshire 90,340 89,119 81,731 81,064 81,703 83,061 84,418 85,733 84,750 -1 -10 -10 -10 -8 -7 -5 -6
West Lothian 175,990 187,294 191,287 191,534 194,178 196,664 199,006 203,177 200,874 6 9 9 10 12 13 15 14
NHS Board areas1
Ayrshire & Arran 373,190 358,721 348,156 349,757 351,568 357,551 363,338 367,498 365,813 -4 -7 -6 -6 -4 -3 -2 -2
Borders 113,710 110,025 108,458 111,479 111,887 113,725 115,512 116,593 119,348 -3 -5 -2 -2 0 2 3 5
Dumfries & Galloway 150,830 141,191 135,218 138,569 139,114 141,619 144,000 145,452 147,854 -6 -10 -8 -8 -6 -5 -4 -2
Fife 366,220 368,017 382,566 388,490 392,341 397,989 403,383 409,900 411,736 0 4 6 7 9 10 12 12
Forth Valley 299,100 301,124 319,736 321,509 324,641 329,033 333,217 338,418 337,630 1 7 7 9 10 11 13 13
Grampian 573,420 576,266 649,552 664,418 671,584 679,490 687,019 698,540 711,032 0 13 16 17 18 20 22 24
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 1,137,320 1,125,460 1,152,755 1,172,622 1,184,846 1,201,284 1,217,109 1,237,724 1,250,509 -1 1 3 4 6 7 9 10
Highland 319,810 306,758 304,324 312,174 313,592 318,676 323,719 327,145 333,328 -4 -5 -2 -2 -0 1 2 4
Lanarkshire 652,230 651,911 646,461 644,336 649,844 659,848 669,322 679,498 671,965 -0 -1 -1 -0 1 3 4 3
Lothian 843,720 858,039 986,305 1,015,328 1,027,731 1,039,083 1,050,011 1,068,931 1,093,623 2 17 20 22 23 24 27 30
Orkney 21,530 20,557 21,172 22,302 22,349 22,724 23,014 23,271 24,440 -5 -2 4 4 6 7 8 14
Shetland 23,210 23,870 23,527 24,537 24,755 25,147 25,460 25,889 26,845 3 1 6 7 8 10 12 16
Tayside 411,750 403,031 449,008 458,870 463,345 469,606 475,602 482,865 489,809 -2 9 11 13 14 16 17 19
Western Isles 27,560 24,975 23,391 24,142 24,088 24,596 25,032 25,114 26,102 -9 -15 -12 -13 -11 -9 -9 -5
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