National Records of Scotland

Preserving the past, Recording the present, Informing the future

2004-based Population Projections for Scottish Areas

2004-based Population Projections for Scottish Areas

First published 20 October 2005

Revised 27 September 2007

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Note: On 27 July 2007 the Mid-year population estimates for 2003-2006 were revised for the 6 Council areas of Aberdeen City, Aberdeenshire, Angus, Dundee City, Moray and Perth & Kinross. The statistics on this page were produced using revised population estimates. More details on the 'Revised Mid-year Population Estimates 2003-2006' are available from this website.


Main Points

1. Background

2. Results of the projection

2.1 Scotland

2.2 Council areas

2.3 NHS board areas

2.4 Age structure across Scotland

3. Comparisons with the 2002-based projections

4. Methodology and assumptions

4.1 Methodology

4.2 Base population

4.3 Projection software system and other small method changes

4.4 Fertility

4.5 Mortality

4.6 Migration

5. Uses and limitations of projections

6. Consequences of projections


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