Household projections for Scotland are published every two years. Figure 6 compares the total number of households projected by the latest (2006-based) household projections, and previous projections. In the past, household projections covered a 14-year period but, in response to demand from users, the 2004-based household projections covered a 20-year period and the 2006-based projections cover a 25-year period.
The 2004-based projections suggested an average increase of around 14,800 households per year between 2004 and 2024; the 2006-based projections foresee an average increase of around 17,600 households per year between 2006 and 2031. Given that the two sets of projections cover different time periods, it is difficult to compare these figures directly. To provide a more direct comparison, we can select the period of 2006 to 2024 - when the 2004-based projections showed an average increase of 14,000 households, while the 2006-based projections show an average increase of 19,000.
Figure 6: Comparisons with previous household projections (2000, 2002, 2004 and 2006-based)
Figure 7 shows the 2004 and 2006-based population and household projections. The 2006-based population projections were higher than the previous set of projections, due to a combination of higher net migration into Scotland, a slightly higher projected birth rate and a slightly lower projected death rate. The household projections are based on the population projections, which is why the 2006-based household projections are higher than the 2004-based projections.
Figure 7: 2004 and 2006–based population and household projections
