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Household Projections for Scotland, 2010-based

Household Projections for Scotland

2010-based

Published on 14 June 2012

Contents

Main Points

1. Introducing the household projections
1.1 Producing the household projections
1.2 Interpreting the household projections
1.3 Uses of the household projections

2. Results
2.1 Scotland: Overall number of households
2.2 Scotland: Type of household
2.3 Scotland: Age of head of household
2.4 Scotland: Household type by age of head of household
2.5 Local authorities: Overall number of households
2.6 Local authorities: Type of household
2.7 Local Authorities: Age of head of household

3. Comparison with previous household projections

4. Variant Household Projections
4.1 Introduction to the variant household projections
4.2 Variation in migration assumptions
4.3 Variation in household formation assumptions
4.4 Variation related to the economic downturn

5. Sources and Methods
5.1 Summary
5.2 Household types and age groups used in the household projections
5.3 Data sources
5.4 Methodology

6. Definitions and limitations of the household projections
6.1 Definitions
6.2 Limitations

7. Related publications
7.1 National Records of Scotland (NRS) publications
7.2 Scottish Government Statistics
7.3 Household estimates and projections for other parts of the UK.

List of Tables

Table A: Household types and age groups used in the household projections
Table B: Communal establishment data sources
Table 1: Overall projections for Scotland, 2010 to 2035
Table 2: Household projections for Scotland, by type of household, 2010 to 2035
Table 3: Household projections for Scotland, by age of head of household, 2010 to 2035
Table 4: Projected number of households in Scotland, by household type and age of head of household, 2010 to 2035
Table 5: Projected percentage of people living alone, by gender and age group, 2010 to 2035
Table 6: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, all households
Table 7: Average household size, by local authority, 2010 to 2035
Table 8: Projected percentage of households of each type, by local authority, 2010 and 2035
Table 9: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, one adult households
Table 10: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, two adult households
Table 11: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households with three or more adults and no children
Table 12: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households with one adult and one or more children
Table 13: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households with two or more adults and one or more children
Table 14: Projected percentage of households by local authority and by age group, 2010 and 2035
Table 15: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households headed by someone aged 16-29
Table 16: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households headed by someone aged 30-44
Table 17: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households headed by someone aged 45-59
Table 18: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households headed by someone aged 60 - 74
Table 19: Household projections for Scotland, by local authority, 2010 to 2035, households headed by someone aged 75+
Table 20: Comparison between principal and variant household projections, by local authority, 2010 and 2035
Table 21: Proportion of households in Scotland in each household type, 2035, principal and variant projections
Table 22: Proportion of households in Scotland in each age group of head of household, 2035, principal and variant projections
Table 23: Comparison between principal, low and high migration variant household projections, by local authority, 2010 to 2035
Table 24: Comparison between principal and alternative headship variant household projections, by local authority, 2010 to 2035
Table 25: Comparison between principal and constrained housing variant household projections, by local authority, 2010 to 2035

List of Figures

Figure 1: Projected number of households in Scotland by household type, 2010 and 2035
Figure 2: Projected number of households in Scotland by age of head of household, 2010 and 2035
Figure 3a: Projected percentage of people living alone in 2010, by age and gender
Figure 3b: Projected percentage of people living alone in 2035, by age and gender
Figure 4: Projected number of households in Scotland by household type and age of head of household, 2010 and 2035
Figure 5a: Projected number of households by local authority, 2010 and 2035
Figure 5b: Projected percentage change in the number of households by local authority, 2010 to 2035
Figure 6: Comparisons with previous household projections (2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010-based)
Figure 7: 2008 and 2010-based population and household projections
Figure 8: Principal, low and high migration variants, 2010-based population and household projections for Scotland
Figure 9: Projected percentage change in households, 2010 to 2035, principal, low and high migration variant projections, by local authority
Figure 10: Principal and alternative headship variant household projections for Scotland, 2010 to 2035
Figure 11: Proportion of households in Scotland in each household type, 2035, principal and alternative headship variant projections
Figure 12: Projected percentage change in households, 2010 to 2035, principal and alternative headship variant projections, by local authority
Figure 13: Principal and alternative headship rate household projections for Scotland, using variant migration population projections, 2010 to 2035
Figure 14: Annual increase in the number of households in Scotland, 2001 to 2011
Figure 15: Principal and constrained housing variant household projections for Scotland, 2010 to 2035
Figure 16: Projected percentage change in households, 2010 to 2035, principal and constrained housing variant projections, by local authority

List of Maps

Map 1: Projected percentage change in households between 2010 and 2035, by local authority
Map 2: Projected average household size by local authority, 2010 and 2035
Map 3: Projected percentage of households containing one adult with no children by local authority, 2035
Map 4: Projected percentage of households with children by local authority, 2035
Map 5: Projected percentage of households headed by someone aged 60 and over by local authority, 2035

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