Table 7 Principal and selected variant projections (2010-based), Scotland, 2010-2080
('000s) | ||||||||||||
Longer-term projections | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010 (base) |
2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | ||
Principal projection | 5,222 | 5,365 | 5,486 | 5,596 | 5,686 | 5,755 | 5,814 | 5,913 | 5,990 | 6,067 | 6,158 | |
High Migration | 5,222 | 5,406 | 5,575 | 5,739 | 5,885 | 6,012 | 6,129 | 6,350 | 6,553 | 6,755 | 6,968 | |
High Fertility | 5,222 | 5,382 | 5,536 | 5,681 | 5,805 | 5,909 | 6,008 | 6,215 | 6,421 | 6,636 | 6,890 | |
High Life expectancy | 5,222 | 5,370 | 5,498 | 5,619 | 5,727 | 5,824 | 5,917 | 6,104 | 6,277 | 6,449 | 6,639 | |
High population | 5,222 | 5,427 | 5,639 | 5,851 | 6,051 | 6,242 | 6,438 | 6,864 | 7,310 | 7,770 | 8,278 | |
Low Migration | 5,222 | 5,325 | 5,396 | 5,452 | 5,486 | 5,499 | 5,499 | 5,477 | 5,426 | 5,378 | 5,348 | |
Low Fertility | 5,222 | 5,338 | 5,422 | 5,499 | 5,556 | 5,591 | 5,609 | 5,607 | 5,569 | 5,525 | 5,483 | |
Low Life expectancy | 5,222 | 5,361 | 5,474 | 5,572 | 5,643 | 5,685 | 5,706 | 5,713 | 5,692 | 5,674 | 5,659 | |
Low population | 5,222 | 5,293 | 5,322 | 5,334 | 5,318 | 5,270 | 5,196 | 4,990 | 4,745 | 4,506 | 4,273 | |
Natural change only | 5,222 | 5,245 | 5,260 | 5,255 | 5,222 | 5,165 | 5,094 | 4,921 | 4,709 | 4,494 | 4,299 |